Summary:
$47 billion in Bitcoin liquidity projected for L2 networks by 2030
Sevenfold increase in Bitcoin L2 projects in 2024
$447 million in venture capital investments already secured
44% of venture capital in layer-2s captured by Bitcoin L2s in Q2 2024
Only 3 to 5 players expected to dominate the Bitcoin L2 market
Bitcoin Layer-2 Networks: A Growing Ecosystem
According to Cointelegraph, Galaxy Digital's research division projects that Bitcoin layer-2 (L2) networks could see approximately $47 billion in Bitcoin liquidity by 2030. This estimation is part of a broader analysis of the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem's growth, which has witnessed a significant increase in projects and venture capital investments.
Significant Growth in 2024
In its latest report, Galaxy Research highlighted the expansion of Bitcoin L2 ecosystems in 2024, noting a sevenfold increase in projects and around $447 million in venture capital investments to date. The report emphasized that venture funding in Bitcoin L2s has already reached $447 million, with 39% of these investments occurring in the first three quarters of 2024. Between January and September 2024, Bitcoin L2s secured $174 million in funding, with $105 million allocated to sidechains and $63 million to rollups.
A Shift in Investment Trends
The second quarter of 2024 marked a pivotal shift, with Bitcoin L2s capturing 44% of all venture capital invested in layer-2s across the crypto industry. This period also saw a 159% increase in investments compared to the first quarter of 2024. Galaxy Research noted that traditional crypto venture capitalists, excluding Bitcoin-focused funds, had minimal exposure to the Bitcoin ecosystem before 2024. Previously, many firms viewed Bitcoin primarily as "digital gold," but the emergence of Bitcoin Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens in 2023 introduced new investment opportunities.
Future Projections
Galaxy Digital anticipates that crypto venture capitalists will continue to invest in Bitcoin L2s as the ecosystem matures. The report suggests that as the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem develops, approximately $47 billion in Bitcoin could flow into the L2 ecosystem by 2030. This influx is expected as Bitcoin holders seek yield opportunities for their assets. Galaxy's report further elaborates that if Bitcoin reaches $100,000 by 2030, the total addressable market for Bitcoin L2s could reach up to $47 billion, assuming 2.3% of the total Bitcoin supply is locked in Bitcoin L2s by that time.
Competitive Landscape
Despite the rapid expansion of the ecosystem, Galaxy researchers predict that only a few players, between three and five, will dominate the market among the 75 builders currently involved in the space. This projection underscores the competitive nature of the Bitcoin L2 landscape as it continues to evolve and attract significant investment.
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